Monday, July 23, 2012

European Corn Now Being Hit by Drought

While the focus on the hot temperatures and drought conditions in the U.S. have been garnering much of the news surrounding corn around the world, parts of southern Europe and stretching through into Ukraine are now starting to get hit by drought-like conditions as well, with temperatures rising to about 5 degrees Fahrenheit above normal, to 95 degrees Fahrenheit.

Accounting for approximately 16 percent of global exports, Europe is now adding to the concerns over how high the price of grains will go this year and how it will affect food prices.

Similar to corn in the U.S., the corn in the European region mentioned has now entered is pollination stage, which is the worst timing because it's that phase of the growth which determines the corn yield.

It is now clear that Europe will now have to import more corn and wheat than normal.

According to the USDA, EU corn yields are projected to drop about 12 percent over last year to about 6.73 tons a hectare, which is a little under two and a half acres.

Countries being hit the hardest in the EU are Italy, Hungary and Romania.

Since the middle of June, corn on the CBOT has soared by 57 percent to $7.9375 a bushel. Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) projects prices to climb as high as a record $9 a bushel within 3 months.

Wheat has been rising along with corn, with prices jumping to $9.4725 a bushel.

Soybeans, which are also in danger from under performance, has jumped to $16.4475 a bushel, a 36 percent increase. Along with corn, it has recently set all-time highs.

In early July the International Grains Council estimated the global corn crop to rise to 917 million tons this year, but the ongoing damage to crops around the world wasn't reflected in those numbers, which are sure to drop when the next report is released on July 26.

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